BREXIT AND MORE WARS IN EUROPE BECOMES MORE LIKELY - BRITAIN AND EU NEEDS EACH OTHER

T

he British people are still seemingly in disarray about whether they should or should not leave the European Union, with the pro-Union advocates citing the likely major adverse economic, political and social cost of Britain leaving, while the Brexiters or those who are advocating Britain leaving, citing the prospects of the country being able 'to make a fresh start', with, as it were, 'the world being Britain's oyster', with it being able to establish trade agreements and protocols with whichever country or groups of countries it considers it advantageous to do so, including her former EU partners, while retaining most of the advantages of EU membership, and freeing itself of most, if not all of its bureaucratic encumberment. 

S

o, as far as the Brexiters are concerned, Britain, upon leaving the European Union, will be able to position itself to have the best of both or all the worlds.

Y

et, neither side can really calculate the net cost and benefits of Britain leaving  the EU, because there are still some factors which cannot be fully determined until, and if Britain leaves the Union. It is, of course, the case that the cost of the country remaining in the Union, including the financial, economic and compromisation of the country's sovereignty can be calculated. It is known that one of the most potent contention of the Brexiters is that the European Union is interfering in and compromising the British state and government authority, by preventing it from acting as the final arbiter in certain legal and political matters, such as pertaining to some aspects of  Human Rights.

T

he Brexiters appear to be more preoccupied with what they perceive to be the economic, legal and political disadvantages of Britain remaining in the EU, and to be less concerned about the broader geo-political, economic and legal implications for Europe, of Britain leaving or remaining. It would not be inaccurate to say they are more motivated by a predatorial and 'little Britain' approach, which wreaks of 'isolationism.'

W

ith the global world already being divided up into geo-political and economic blocs, and not presenting itself as perceived 'virgin territories' such as Africa and the Americas might have been perceived before they were divided between warring European countries and colonised, it is puzzling that the Brexiters should be appearing to be so eager and committed to risking embarking into the  economic and politically uncharted waters of Brexitdom.

A

nother major concern is that there are still several million Britons who are eligible to vote in the Referendum, but has still not registered to do so. Like all elections, the EU Referendum could, probably tragically - if it results in vote to leave the EU - be decided, not by the proportion of the electorate who have voted, but more by the percentage who have chosen not vote. This raises the question as to whether an important issue as whether to leave or not to leave the EU should have a clause or requirement that, say, at least 70 per cent of the electorate has to vote.

W

ith the political tendency in Europe clearly having moved from the Left to the Right, and, it seems, still moving rightwards, if Britain were to leave the EU, it does seem that the likelihood of more wars on the European mainland will have increased. While one can understand the major practical and psychological impact on mainlanders, of the massive migration and refugee problems which they have had to face for the past few years, strengtt of the anti-immigrant and anti-Islamic reaction, and its transformation of the political climate from left to right, has been frightening. Although this movement of the political and human rights landscape has also adversely impacted on Britain, her absence from the EU, as a still more tolerant voice, would, in my opinion, assist the more authoritarian, formerly Eastern bloc new members of the EU to hijack the EU and make it into a more unstable, dangerous and ineffective organisation.

C

onsequently, the EU needs Britain, probably as much or even more that Britain needs the EU. The is a serious danger to both, were Britain to leave, and it is something which all the EU countries should be strongly voicing.

The complacency of being isolated your own rock?